The Tory calculation is that Boris Johnson will prevent an electoral wipeout. The problem is that he will now divide opinion.
Yes, some electors will vote for him, but equally those anti-Johnson who are not attracted positively to 'Soporific Starmer' or 'Disappointing Davey' will be motivated to vote for who can remove their constituency Tory MP.
But, before we ever get there, imagine Sunak getting the vast majority of Conservative MPs only for it to go to the membership and find that they select Johnson. It'll be back to the same issue again, as with Truss.
Plus, if Johnson wins, several Conservative MPs will go independent or even join an opposition party.
Rely on the Conservatives to get it wrong again!
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